Tech predictions for 2015 that you should actually listen to
January may be coming to a close, but the flood of predictions, forecasts,
and prognostications for the year ahead hasn’t abated. Among the dross however
is the annual list of predictions from GP Bullhound (pdf), a boutique
investment bank that specializes in tech companies. The bank is worth listening
to: As a dealmaker straddling start-ups and large firms, its sees
trends as they’re happening. And its record of predictions from 2014 is more
hit than miss.
Quartz picked the ones that will have an impact on consumers, and not
just within the industry:
Services like Uber and Airbnb will proliferate this year. The
argument is slightly different from the usual ones about under-utilized
resources, or the efficiency of marketplaces. Instead GP Bullhound focuses
on the fact that such companies “sell trust in the branded entity
rather than the component parts.” One example is ThredUp, a second-hand
clothing and accessories marketplace where the “primary focus is on customer
satisfaction, not daily sales.” Similarly, real estate agents at Redfin, a
tech-powered brokerage firm, “earn salaries and bonuses based on customer
satisfaction, not commissions.”
Wearable devices such as Fitbit and Jawbone are great at tracking real-world
activity and turning that into data, but they “required too much
hand-holding from consumers to make them ‘intelligent.'” New devices will
be “context-aware applications that automatically collect datafrom
multiple sources, learn, make recommendations, and, in some instances, take
action without requiring input from users.”
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